cerebovssquire wrote:No other suggestion spares him from 8 bites coming his way.

Well...

You have a wand of paralysis that hasn't been zapped, so we know it has charges.

He has 0 Evocations.

There's the chance the use won't work; I don't know the formula at all, but I assume it involves

1 - the chance it will miss plus

2 - the chance it will not affect due to evocations plus

3 - the chance the wand was generated with 0 charges (I think this is not possible, correct?)

He also carries 11 scrolls, 4 of which are unidentified, 7 of which are identified.

We don't yet know if blinking is identified or how many other scrolls he has identified.

There are 27 scrolls in the game (depending on the version he's playing).

That's a 4/(27-7) or 4/20 or 1/5 chance he has the scroll of blinking and a 1/4 chance he picks the right one of the group he's carrying.

That totals a 1/20, or 5% chance. We know the scroll usage will succeed because he doesn't have blurry vision.

Revise % if more scrolls are identified and just not carried (unlikely because no one carries around a stack that large of remove curse scrolls?)

You can check the count of scrolls you've identified by hitting the '\' key.

So is the chance of that wand of paralysis working more than 5%? (

EDIT: yes it is according to minmay; I didn't read much past minmay's directed insult before replying because ---- that guy. ) If so, use it, otherwise go fish for blinking.

Caveat: as minmay states and cerebov confirms, I'm obviously giving you completely bad information. If you try it, try the 3 stack or we can play the "rarity of blinking scroll probability game" first. If you've id'd blinking already, then use the paralysis wand. Note that I have 2 wins to my credit and cerebov has 72.

If you die, I request you reveal the ids of all scrolls.