duvessa wrote:damiac wrote:So, if you take a snapshot of the best players at their best, and discount all their other games, they have a win rate of 100%. OK, that's true of any player with any win ever.
I'm not doubting really good players can win the majority of games they play, I am just curious where this 95% number is coming from? Because the link Duvessa gave doesn't have anything to do with overall win rates.
What I see is that one time, some players managed to have a 95% win rate across about 20 games. Impressive, sure, but it's pretty silly to extrapolate that and claim those players are good enough to maintain such a win rate.
Well what
would convince you? Do you just want an account with a >95% winrate? Because I can give you dozens of those.
The point of linking to the streaks page is to show that it is easy to win Crawl very consistently, not to specify a certain win rate.
People keep saying "If you just follow these tips and play like the pros, you too could have a 95% win rate!"
But, if a 95% win rate was easily achievable, there would be much better streaks than 25. Someone would have used this '95%' method to repeatedly get streaks around 20, and of course, they'd have some streaks that were much longer. Since people seem to care about high scores on the crawl boards, it's safe to assume that a 95% win rate is much higher than even the best players can reliable achieve.
Yeah, if you just make a new account every time you lose, and you're really good, you could get some really high winrate accounts. But you'd also have a lot of low winrate accounts, and your average would be a hell of a lot lower than 95%.
Of course, if someone wants to prove me wrong it should be easy, just go beat the streak high score. If you win 95% of your games, you've got a 21% chance to win 30 in a row. So odds are, if 5 of these awesome players all go for a streak, we should see at least one streak above the current high score.
I won't hold my breath on that happening though, because that 95% figure is completely bogus.